FK RFS vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
89
1º
7º
1º
36
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
RIG
40%
23%
38%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
4 - 5
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
AUD
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
LIE
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
18%
25%
58%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 0
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BFC
4 - 2
FSM
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 1
BFC
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |