FK RFS vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FSM
1 - 1
RIG
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
RIG
1 - 0
FKJ
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RIG
0 - 3
VEN
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FKS
2 - 1
RIG
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
RIG
0 - 2
FKS
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BFC
2 - 1
FKS
14%
23%
62%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BFC
3 - 3
FSM
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BFC
0 - 1
LIE
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FKJ
2 - 0
BFC
76%
18%
7%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
BFC
0 - 0
FKJ
14%
25%
62%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | +1 |