1. Liga Round 14

Rigas FS II vs Valmiera II analysis

Rigas FS II Valmiera II
61 ELO 56
20.3% Tilt 10.9%
2410º General ELO ranking 48741º
10º Country ELO ranking 180º
ELO win probability
53.9%
Rigas FS II
22.6%
Draw
23.5%
Valmiera II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
Rigas FS II
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.5%
Win probability
Valmiera II
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Rigas FS II
Their league position
Valmiera II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
34
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SK Super Nova
65
65
100%
Rigas FS II
63
63
100%
JDFS Alberts
58
58
100%
Riga FC II
48
48
100%
Skanstes
41
41
100%
Valmiera II
34
34
100%
FK Mārupe
33
33
100%
Leevon PPK
31
31
100%
JFK Ventspils
10º
30
30
100%
AFA Olaine
30
30
10º
100%
Ogre United
11º
29
29
11º
100%
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
12º
19
19
12º
100%
Smiltene
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Rezekne
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rigas FS II
Valmiera II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rigas FS II
Valmiera II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rigas FS II
Rigas FS II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2024
RIG
Rigas FS II
5 - 2
JFK Ventspils
KFV
78%
14%
8%
60 34 26 0
21 Jul. 2024
RIG
Rigas FS II
6 - 0
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
TUK
71%
17%
12%
60 42 18 0
12 Jul. 2024
SUP
SK Super Nova
1 - 0
Rigas FS II
RIG
39%
23%
38%
60 52 8 0
06 Jul. 2024
RIG
Rigas FS II
4 - 0
Rezekne
RFA
73%
16%
12%
60 30 30 0
28 Jun. 2024
FSL
Leevon PPK
1 - 2
Rigas FS II
RIG
17%
21%
62%
60 29 31 0

Matches

Valmiera II
Valmiera II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2024
FSL
Leevon PPK
2 - 1
Valmiera II
VAL
15%
19%
66%
57 31 26 0
20 Jul. 2024
ALB
JDFS Alberts
3 - 2
Valmiera II
VAL
49%
24%
26%
58 62 4 -1
05 Jul. 2024
SKA
Skanstes
1 - 0
Valmiera II
VAL
36%
24%
40%
58 55 3 0
30 Jun. 2024
RIG
Riga FC II
2 - 1
Valmiera II
VAL
61%
21%
18%
58 71 13 0
16 Jun. 2024
VAL
Valmiera II
2 - 1
SK Super Nova
SUP
56%
22%
23%
58 53 5 0