1. Liga Round 21

Rigas FS II vs Valmiera II analysis

Rigas FS II Valmiera II
53 ELO 55
10.3% Tilt 11.2%
2322º General ELO ranking 48030º
10º Country ELO ranking 181º
ELO win probability
40.9%
Rigas FS II
23.7%
Draw
35.5%
Valmiera II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
Rigas FS II
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.5%
Win probability
Valmiera II
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rigas FS II
-1%
-14%
Valmiera II

Points and table prediction

Rigas FS II
Their league position
Valmiera II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
28
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Grobiņa
66
66
100%
Riga FC II
64
64
100%
Skanstes
59
59
100%
JDFS Alberts
47
47
100%
Saldus SS/Leevon
40
40
100%
Rigas FS II
37
37
100%
FK Beitar
35
35
100%
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
33
33
100%
JFK Ventspils
30
30
100%
Valmiera II
10º
28
28
10º
100%
AFA Olaine
11º
23
23
11º
100%
Smiltene
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Dinamo Rīga / Stailece Bebr
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Rezekne
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rigas FS II
Valmiera II
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rigas FS II
Valmiera II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rigas FS II
Rigas FS II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
GRO
Grobiņa
3 - 1
Rigas FS II
RIG
67%
18%
15%
54 62 8 0
15 Sep. 2023
RIG
Rigas FS II
1 - 2
Riga FC II
RIG
27%
25%
48%
54 69 15 0
03 Sep. 2023
RFA
Rezekne
0 - 1
Rigas FS II
RIG
19%
20%
61%
54 37 17 0
26 Aug. 2023
FKB
FK Beitar
3 - 2
Rigas FS II
RIG
13%
18%
68%
54 31 23 0
19 Aug. 2023
DRS
Dinamo Rīga / Stailece Bebr
4 - 1
Rigas FS II
RIG
14%
19%
67%
54 33 21 0

Matches

Valmiera II
Valmiera II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
KFV
JFK Ventspils
0 - 0
Valmiera II
VAL
7%
15%
79%
55 22 33 0
16 Sep. 2023
VAL
Valmiera II
0 - 2
Grobiņa
GRO
34%
24%
42%
56 61 5 -1
09 Sep. 2023
FKB
FK Beitar
2 - 1
Valmiera II
VAL
13%
18%
69%
56 35 21 0
03 Sep. 2023
RIG
Riga FC II
3 - 1
Valmiera II
VAL
59%
22%
20%
57 68 11 -1
27 Aug. 2023
VAL
Valmiera II
3 - 1
Rezekne
RFA
78%
14%
8%
56 37 19 +1