Rieti vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
RIE
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FER
0 - 2
RIE
35%
27%
39%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 2
TER
54%
23%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 2
USV
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
RPO
0 - 0
RIE
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
CAV
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 1
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
PIC
71%
20%
9%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
NUO
1 - 1
CAS
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
REN
53%
26%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |