SV Ried vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2003 |
RIE
1 - 1
UNT
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 0
RIE
36%
25%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
RIE
2 - 1
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
RIE
0 - 3
AWM
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
SWB
2 - 0
RIE
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2003 |
WOR
1 - 3
WIN
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
UNT
2 - 2
WOR
58%
22%
19%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
WOR
0 - 1
LAS
38%
25%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
LUS
2 - 2
WOR
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
WOR
1 - 4
WIE
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |