SV Ried vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
WIE
0 - 2
RIE
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MAT
2 - 2
RIE
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RIE
1 - 1
MAT
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
KAP
2 - 1
RIE
35%
27%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RIE
2 - 2
RBS
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
STR
0 - 3
RBS
48%
27%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 2
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
STR
3 - 3
RAP
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 0
STR
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
STR
1 - 0
WIE
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |