Richmond vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 2
RIC
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
RIC
1 - 1
MEL
33%
25%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
RIC
6 - 3
SOU
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +6 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
RIC
3 - 6
MEL
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
OAK
2 - 2
RIC
68%
19%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
BUL
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 2
POR
75%
15%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
5 - 0
NOR
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
HEU
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
AVH
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |