Riccione vs Vastogirardi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
17º
14º
29
7º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riccione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SSS
2 - 1
RIC
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RIC
1 - 2
AVE
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BFM
2 - 2
RIC
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RIC
1 - 2
SOR
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 1
RIC
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 2
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RMS
2 - 0
VAS
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 1
SSS
18%
24%
58%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 5
AVE
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BFM
2 - 0
VAS
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |