Capital vs Interporto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
3 - 3
CAP
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
CAP
68%
18%
15%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
TOC
16%
20%
65%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 3
CAP
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 0
GUR
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | +4 |
Matches
Interporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
INT
2 - 1
GUR
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 2
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
INT
2 - 0
ARA
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
INT
1 - 2
TOC
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 0
INT
48%
24%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |