Ribelle vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ABA
0 - 1
RIB
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
RIB
3 - 0
VIN
46%
24%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ACE
4 - 1
RIB
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 0
FID
46%
23%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 1
SCA
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOR
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 0
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 2
DEL
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 4
VIR
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
VIN
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |