Ribeirão vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 3
RIB
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
IDE
1 - 1
RIB
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
RIB
3 - 0
IDE
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
FEL
0 - 2
RIB
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 1
ADO
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 3
VAR
18%
24%
58%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
SER
40%
25%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SER
3 - 1
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEC
37%
25%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
REB
3 - 0
VIL
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -3 |