Perwez vs NSeth Berchem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
1º
35
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TUB
1 - 2
RFC
13%
17%
69%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
KOS
2 - 2
RFC
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RFC
4 - 0
FCS
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAI
0 - 2
RFC
13%
18%
70%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 3
GRE
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NSeth Berchem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NSB
5 - 2
FCS
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAI
3 - 1
NSB
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NSB
3 - 0
ETT
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
NSB
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NSB
2 - 0
RIX
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |