Perwez vs Genappe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
1º
55
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
RIX
0 - 0
RFC
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
RFC
34%
22%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 0
STO
86%
9%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MEU
1 - 1
RFC
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TIE
0 - 1
RFC
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Genappe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCG
4 - 0
FCS
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 1
FCG
11%
16%
73%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCG
3 - 0
ETT
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FCG
4 - 1
SPO
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 4
FCG
9%
15%
76%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |