Perwez vs AFC Evere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.3%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
1º
30
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LAS
0 - 1
RFC
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 0
FCG
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
RIX
0 - 0
RFC
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
RFC
34%
22%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 0
STO
86%
9%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Evere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
EVE
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
EVE
0 - 0
ETT
42%
22%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 2
EVE
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
EVE
0 - 2
STA
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 1
EVE
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |