Revilla vs Tropezón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
16º
10º
52
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 1
REV
60%
23%
17%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
REV
2 - 1
CAS
46%
23%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
REV
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
REV
1 - 2
CAY
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
REV
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TRO
4 - 2
SOL
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CUL
1 - 2
TRO
15%
19%
67%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 0
SIE
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
TRO
16%
19%
66%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 1
SDT
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |