Revilla vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
REV
1 - 2
SOL
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
REV
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
REV
3 - 0
TEX
22%
25%
52%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 2
REV
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
REV
0 - 2
SAM
36%
25%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
DEV
1 - 3
SAM
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
REO
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 3
SAM
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
MER
57%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
REV
0 - 2
SAM
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |