Revilla vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
GAM
1 - 1
REV
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
REV
0 - 2
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
COM
1 - 0
REV
61%
22%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
REV
1 - 0
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CUL
1 - 0
REV
55%
24%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 3
MER
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ARE
2 - 2
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAM
5 - 1
VEL
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AYR
2 - 0
SAM
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
GIM
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |