Revilla vs Reocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
49.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 0
REV
70%
20%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
REV
2 - 1
LAR
17%
26%
57%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
RIB
2 - 0
REV
75%
17%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
REV
1 - 2
TRO
14%
26%
60%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BEZ
1 - 0
REV
75%
17%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Reocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
REO
2 - 1
RAY
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
TEX
1 - 0
REO
19%
26%
55%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
REO
6 - 2
CAS
42%
26%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
NAV
0 - 3
REO
33%
28%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 0
REO
58%
24%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |