Carioca 1 Taça Guanabara. Jor. 3

Resende vs Flamengo analysis

Resende Flamengo
55 ELO 82
-0.3% Tilt -16.4%
4700º General ELO ranking 56º
173º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13.3%
Resende
20.8%
Draw
65.9%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
Resende
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.9%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Resende
+4%
+8%
Flamengo

ELO progression

Resende
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Resende
Resende
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2015
RES
Resende
1 - 1
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
72%
18%
11%
55 41 14 0
31 Jan. 2015
RES
Resende
1 - 0
Bonsucesso
BON
66%
20%
14%
55 46 9 0
30 Nov. 2014
RES
Resende
1 - 0
Madureira RJ
MAD
51%
25%
24%
54 54 0 +1
22 Nov. 2014
MAD
Madureira RJ
1 - 0
Resende
RES
42%
27%
31%
55 53 2 -1
19 Nov. 2014
RES
Resende
1 - 0
Friburguense
FRI
49%
24%
27%
54 54 0 +1

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2015
FLA
Flamengo
4 - 0
Barra Mansa
BAR
85%
12%
3%
82 42 40 0
31 Jan. 2015
MAC
Macaé Esporte
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
13%
21%
67%
82 55 27 0
18 Jan. 2015
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 0
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
34%
24%
42%
82 85 3 0
07 Dec. 2014
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
46%
27%
28%
82 83 1 0
30 Nov. 2014
FLA
Flamengo
4 - 0
Vitória
VIT
60%
23%
18%
81 74 7 +1
X