Resende vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 3
RES
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RES
2 - 1
MAC
39%
25%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 3
RES
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
RES
30%
25%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAX
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
LAJ
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
CAX
79%
14%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 0
CAX
19%
24%
58%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAX
3 - 2
CAC
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |