Resende vs Guarda Desportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
14º
13º
10
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
RES
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RES
0 - 3
LUS
25%
27%
48%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -3 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 2
RES
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
GON
20%
26%
55%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
RES
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Guarda Desportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
LUS
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GON
2 - 2
GUA
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAL
13%
20%
68%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
REB
2 - 0
GUA
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
ALP
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |