Reocin vs C. Guarnizo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
REO
7 - 1
VEL
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 3
REO
28%
28%
44%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
REO
0 - 1
GIM
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
3 - 2
REO
31%
28%
40%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
REO
2 - 0
NOJ
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
C. Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CGU
0 - 0
SAN
17%
23%
61%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
GIM
2 - 1
CGU
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CGU
1 - 3
LAR
14%
21%
64%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NOJ
2 - 0
CGU
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CGU
1 - 4
ESC
11%
19%
70%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | -1 |