Renown vs Army analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
REN
3 - 3
SOL
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
REN
0 - 0
SAU
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CRY
3 - 1
REN
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
NAN
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PEL
0 - 3
REN
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 2
FOR
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COU
0 - 3
ARM
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
SLP
0 - 3
ARM
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SOL
0 - 1
ARM
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ARM
3 - 1
CRY
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |