Renova vs FK Pobeda AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
5º
9º
9º
13
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
LJU
3 - 0
REN
4%
10%
86%
|
61 | 5 | 56 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FKB
1 - 5
REN
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
REN
2 - 0
FKS
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TIK
0 - 1
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
REN
1 - 1
FCS
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FK Pobeda AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
POB
1 - 3
MAK
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 0
POB
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
POB
2 - 0
FCS
16%
27%
58%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
POB
0 - 2
MAK
16%
20%
65%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POB
1 - 1
AKP
19%
25%
57%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |