Rende vs Tiger Brolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
REN
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
REN
2 - 0
NFR
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TUR
3 - 1
REN
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
REN
3 - 0
ROC
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SOR
2 - 1
REN
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tiger Brolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ORL
3 - 0
TBR
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TBR
1 - 0
NOT
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
TBR
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TBR
2 - 2
NFR
27%
23%
51%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TUR
0 - 1
TBR
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |