Rende vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
USC
0 - 1
REN
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
REN
3 - 0
DTO
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SIC
2 - 2
REN
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
REN
2 - 1
POM
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
REN
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 0
RAA
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 1
GRA
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GRA
4 - 0
GLA
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FCI
2 - 0
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 1
SAR
53%
22%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |