Lega Pro Group B Round 4

Renate vs Fermana analysis

Renate Fermana
50 ELO 49
-26.4% Tilt -16%
2716º General ELO ranking 5086º
99º Country ELO ranking 180º
ELO win probability
46.1%
Renate
27.8%
Draw
26.1%
Fermana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
Renate
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.1%
Win probability
Fermana
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Renate
+1%
-27%
Fermana

ELO progression

Renate
Fermana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Renate
Renate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2018
ASS
AC Monza
1 - 0
Renate
REN
53%
26%
21%
52 56 4 0
23 Sep. 2018
REN
Renate
1 - 1
Vicenza
VIC
36%
30%
35%
52 52 0 0
16 Sep. 2018
SSS
Sambenedettese
0 - 2
Renate
REN
48%
26%
26%
50 50 0 +2
29 Jul. 2018
REN
Renate
0 - 2
Rezzato
REZ
41%
26%
33%
51 46 5 -1
22 Jul. 2018
TOR
Torino
3 - 0
Renate
REN
90%
8%
2%
51 85 34 0

Matches

Fermana
Fermana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2018
FER
Fermana
1 - 0
Giana Erminio
GER
28%
25%
47%
48 52 4 0
23 Sep. 2018
FER
Union Brescia
0 - 0
Fermana
FER
67%
20%
14%
47 53 6 +1
16 Sep. 2018
FER
Fermana
2 - 0
Virtus Verona
VIR
50%
26%
25%
45 42 3 +2
02 Sep. 2018
FER
Fermana
0 - 2
Rieti
RIE
35%
27%
39%
47 49 2 -2
08 Aug. 2018
TER
Teramo
0 - 0
Fermana
FER
50%
25%
24%
46 48 2 +1