Red Star vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
VAL
2 - 1
RED
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
RED
2 - 2
BRE
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
PAU
2 - 0
RED
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
DIJ
0 - 0
RED
56%
23%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
RED
3 - 3
PAC
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
LOR
2 - 0
ASN
36%
28%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
MPL
2 - 2
LOR
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
FCG
1 - 1
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
CAN
1 - 2
LOR
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
LOR
1 - 0
LHA
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |