Ligue 1 round 38

Red Star vs Lens analysis

Red Star Lens
66 ELO 75
13.3% Tilt -11%
1146º General ELO ranking 53º
35º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.3%
Red Star
26.5%
Draw
29.2%
Lens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
Red Star
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.2%
Win probability
Lens
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Red Star
+4%
-8%
Lens

ELO progression

Red Star
Lens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Red Star
Red Star
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 1975
MAR
Olympique Marseille
3 - 2
Red Star
RED
78%
15%
7%
66 81 15 0
03 May. 1975
RED
Red Star
1 - 1
PSG
PSG
46%
25%
29%
66 75 9 0
30 Apr. 1975
BAS
Bastia
2 - 0
Red Star
RED
64%
22%
13%
67 77 10 -1
19 Apr. 1975
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 1
Red Star
RED
76%
16%
8%
67 77 10 0
05 Apr. 1975
REI
Stade de Reims
1 - 1
Red Star
RED
73%
17%
10%
67 75 8 0

Matches

Lens
Lens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 1975
LEN
Lens
3 - 1
Saint-Étienne
ASS
34%
26%
40%
74 85 11 0
03 May. 1975
NAN
Nantes
2 - 1
Lens
LEN
58%
23%
19%
75 81 6 -1
30 Apr. 1975
LEN
Lens
3 - 0
Nîmes
NÎM
54%
25%
22%
74 79 5 +1
19 Apr. 1975
MON
Monaco
3 - 0
Lens
LEN
56%
23%
20%
75 73 2 -1
05 Apr. 1975
LEN
Lens
1 - 0
Troyes
TRO
65%
21%
14%
74 69 5 +1