National 2 Round 4

Red Star vs Guingamp II analysis

Red Star Guingamp II
54 ELO 49
15.7% Tilt 3.9%
813º General ELO ranking 4850º
34º Country ELO ranking 118º
ELO win probability
62.9%
Red Star
20.5%
Draw
16.6%
Guingamp II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
Red Star
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.6%
Win probability
Guingamp II
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Red Star
-12%
+9%
Guingamp II

ELO progression

Red Star
Guingamp II
Pontivy
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Red Star
Red Star
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2006
STG
St Geneviève
0 - 0
Red Star
RED
21%
23%
55%
54 42 12 0
12 Aug. 2006
RED
Red Star
5 - 1
Pontivy
PON
81%
13%
6%
54 38 16 0
05 Aug. 2006
POI
Poissy
1 - 1
Red Star
RED
34%
26%
40%
54 49 5 0
18 May. 2001
RED
Red Star
5 - 2
CS Louhans Cuiseaux
CSL
42%
25%
33%
52 58 6 +2
11 May. 2001
RAC
Racing Colombes 92
1 - 0
Red Star
RED
61%
22%
17%
53 63 10 -1

Matches

Guingamp II
Guingamp II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2006
GUI
Guingamp II
2 - 0
Vitré
VIT
44%
26%
30%
49 50 1 0
13 Aug. 2006
PSG
PSG II
1 - 1
Guingamp II
GUI
43%
25%
32%
49 47 2 0
05 Aug. 2006
GUI
Guingamp II
2 - 0
FC Rouen 1899
FCR
33%
28%
39%
48 56 8 +1
27 May. 2006
GUI
Guingamp II
0 - 1
Stade Rennais II
STA
41%
26%
33%
48 50 2 0
20 May. 2006
POI
Poissy
2 - 0
Guingamp II
GUI
40%
26%
35%
50 47 3 -2