Red Star vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
QUE
1 - 0
RED
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
RED
2 - 0
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 2
RED
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
LUS
2 - 0
RED
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
VER
0 - 3
RED
11%
17%
72%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 2
MPL
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DRA
1 - 2
BAS
11%
24%
64%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 1
BEL
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SED
0 - 0
BAS
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCS
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | +1 |