Red Star vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
LMU
1 - 2
RED
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1998 |
STL
4 - 2
RED
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
RED
3 - 2
NIC
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
ASS
2 - 1
RED
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
RED
2 - 3
LIL
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
GUI
4 - 1
AJA
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
AJA
2 - 1
NÎM
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
TRO
0 - 4
AJA
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
AJA
0 - 0
CAN
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
ASB
3 - 1
AJA
23%
25%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |