Red Star Zürich vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
11º
6º
27
14º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 5
RSZ
28%
23%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RSZ
1 - 2
BRU
60%
20%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
RSZ
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 2
FCC
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 2
RSZ
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
ZUG
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
ASC
50%
21%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRU
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
ASC
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 1
FCC
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |