Red Star vs Gourbeyre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
10º
9º
18
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 21 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 19 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 16 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
72.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
2 | 3 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ASD
1 - 1
RSG
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RSG
0 - 2
STL
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RSG
0 - 0
JEE
46%
23%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 1
RSG
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RSG
0 - 1
CBM
53%
21%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gourbeyre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CER
0 - 2
GOU
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 1
CBM
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 2
GOU
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GOU
0 - 4
PDC
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SSC
3 - 2
GOU
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |