Red Star vs Dynamo Le Moule analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
50.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
10º
9º
19
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 21 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 19 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 16 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
72.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
2 | 3 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
GOU
3 - 0
RSG
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STL
2 - 0
RSG
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RSG
0 - 3
JUV
55%
23%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 1
RSG
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RSG
1 - 1
GOU
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Le Moule
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
ASD
3 - 0
CER
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 1
CBM
48%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIE
3 - 0
ASD
46%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ASD
5 - 0
CSC
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CER
1 - 2
ASD
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |