New York RB vs FC Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
RBN
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
CHI
0 - 1
RBN
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
CFS
1 - 0
RBN
47%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
RBN
1 - 5
IMI
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
RBN
5 - 3
NER
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
CIN
2 - 2
JUA
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 4
JUA
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
TIJ
1 - 1
JUA
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
TIG
1 - 0
JUA
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
JUA
1 - 1
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |