Red Arrows vs Roan United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
KON
0 - 0
RED
47%
29%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RED
3 - 1
GRE
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 2
RED
46%
29%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
RED
0 - 1
ZAN
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
IND
1 - 3
RED
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Roan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROA
2 - 2
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ZES
1 - 1
ROA
46%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ROA
0 - 3
NKA
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
KON
1 - 1
ROA
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
KON
2 - 1
ROA
42%
29%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |