Red Arrows vs Roan United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
RED
47%
28%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
RED
3 - 0
GRE
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
KON
1 - 0
RED
47%
29%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
RED
1 - 1
CEA
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
LUD
1 - 2
RED
46%
29%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Roan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ZFC
1 - 0
ROA
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ROA
3 - 3
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
ROA
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ROA
1 - 0
KON
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 1
ROA
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |