Red Arrows vs Nkwazi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
LUD
0 - 1
RED
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
RED
2 - 2
KAF
42%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
RED
1 - 1
POW
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
RED
1 - 1
FOR
45%
27%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 0
RED
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nkwazi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
NKW
2 - 0
ZAN
32%
28%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NKW
0 - 0
KAF
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LUD
0 - 3
NKW
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NKW
1 - 0
POW
42%
30%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 0
NKW
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |