Red Arrows vs Nchanga Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
POW
0 - 0
RED
52%
26%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 1
RED
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
RED
1 - 0
KAB
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
RED
2 - 0
KON
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
NKW
0 - 0
RED
50%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nchanga Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
NCH
1 - 0
ROA
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
COL
0 - 1
NCH
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NCH
0 - 0
ZES
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
NCH
2 - 1
LUD
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
YAR
2 - 1
NCH
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |