Red Arrows vs Nakambala Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
EAG
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NKW
3 - 1
RED
51%
27%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
FOR
49%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POW
1 - 0
RED
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
RED
1 - 1
NAP
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nakambala Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 2
LEO
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 0
KAB
37%
32%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MBL
0 - 0
LEO
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 0
EAG
36%
31%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NKW
1 - 1
LEO
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |