Red Arrows vs Lusaka Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RED
3 - 1
BFC
42%
28%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
RED
42%
28%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
RED
2 - 1
PRL
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
EAG
2 - 0
RED
44%
28%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
RED
2 - 2
KON
47%
28%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lusaka Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
LUD
0 - 0
ZAN
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NKW
2 - 2
LUD
38%
28%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
KAF
0 - 1
LUD
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 1
POW
43%
28%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 1
LUD
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |