Red Arrows vs Indeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2021 |
ZAN
1 - 2
RED
56%
23%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
ZES
1 - 2
RED
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 2
RED
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
RED
1 - 0
KAB
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
RED
1 - 0
NKW
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Indeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
ZAN
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
NKW
0 - 1
IND
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
IND
0 - 3
LUD
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
POW
3 - 0
IND
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
BFC
45%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |