Red Arrows vs Indeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
RED
0 - 1
POW
49%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PRL
0 - 1
RED
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
RED
1 - 0
KIT
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 0
RED
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
ZES
1 - 1
RED
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -16 |
Matches
Indeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
PRL
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
KIT
2 - 2
IND
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
IND
0 - 0
GRE
57%
21%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ZAN
2 - 0
IND
59%
19%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
IND
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -3 |