Red Arrows vs Forest Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MUZ
1 - 4
RED
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
RED
1 - 0
NKA
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RED
3 - 1
MUS
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RED
1 - 2
EAG
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ZAN
1 - 2
RED
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Forest Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
ZAN
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
KAB
1 - 0
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
KAD
0 - 0
FOR
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
GRE
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ZES
1 - 1
FOR
55%
22%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |