Red Arrows vs Forest Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POW
1 - 0
RED
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
RED
1 - 1
NAP
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LUR
1 - 1
RED
59%
24%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
MUF
1 - 1
RED
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RED
1 - 3
LEO
47%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
NAP
0 - 1
FOR
42%
29%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
LUR
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
FOR
36%
31%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 0
MUF
31%
28%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -7 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
POW
45%
29%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +7 |