Recreativo vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
AGD
2 - 2
REC
48%
29%
23%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
REC
5 - 0
CDB
65%
24%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1973 |
REC
1 - 0
RJA
72%
19%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
ORI
1 - 2
REC
44%
31%
25%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
REC
3 - 0
CPC
62%
25%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
RJA
1 - 0
BAL
62%
24%
14%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
ALM
1 - 0
RJA
74%
18%
8%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1973 |
REC
1 - 0
RJA
72%
19%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
RJA
2 - 0
PUE
55%
27%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
MEL
2 - 0
RJA
67%
22%
11%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |