Recreativo Bailén vs Mancha Real AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
51%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo Bailén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CLO
1 - 0
BAI
51%
20%
29%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
BAI
78%
13%
9%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
NAV
7 - 2
BAI
74%
15%
11%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
BAI
2 - 3
CAZ
20%
20%
60%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
URG
6 - 2
BAI
70%
17%
13%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 0
VIL
32%
24%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MCF
1 - 5
ADM
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
5 - 1
UDC
49%
21%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ADM
2 - 5
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
UDC
2 - 2
ADM
51%
21%
28%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |