Recas vs Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MEN
3 - 2
REC
45%
23%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
T66
8 - 2
REC
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
REC
2 - 2
CDE
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ECG
2 - 1
REC
47%
23%
31%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
REC
1 - 3
SCR
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 4
T66
16%
21%
62%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ECG
3 - 0
CAL
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
PUE
63%
21%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CTI
2 - 3
CAL
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 1
GUA
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |